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Advisories - Atlantic
NHC AtlanticActive tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of AmericaAtlantic Tropical Weather Outlook 000ABNT20 KNHC 011750TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Subtropical Central Atlantic (Remnants of Fay):A low pressure area associated with the remnants of former Tropical Storm Fay is located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. While thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday, dry air and strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent significant re-development while it moves northwestward, to the east of Bermuda. Any formation chances should end by Sunday due to very strong upper-level winds.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.$$Forecaster Blake There are no tropical cyclones at this time. No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 21:37:29 GMT |
Advisories - Eastern Pacific
NHC Eastern North PacificActive tropical cyclones in the Eastern North PacificEastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook 000ABPZ20 KNHC 011738TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 1 2026For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Nolo, located several hundred miles west of Lihue, Hawaii, on Hurricane Rachel, located about a couple of hundred miles south of Baja California Sur and on Tropical Depression Nineteen-E, located well west-southwest of the Baja California Peninsula.South of Southern Mexico:An area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early next week south of the southern coast of Mexico. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely form while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.$$Forecaster Kelly Hurricane for
Hurricane Rachel
Summary for Remnants of Nineteen-E (EP4/EP192026) ...NINETEEN-E DISSIPATES... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Thu Oct 01 the center of Nineteen-E was located near 15.0, -123.0 with movement E at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph. Remnants of Nineteen-E Public Advisory Number 10 Issued at 200 PM PDT Thu Oct 01 2026 192 WTPZ34 KNHC 012046 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Remnants Of Nineteen-E Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192026 200 PM PDT Thu Oct 01 2026 ...NINETEEN-E DISSIPATES... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.0N 123.0W ABOUT 1015 MI...1630 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the remnants of Nineteen-E were located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 123.0 West. The remnants are moving toward the east near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for another day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Adams Remnants of Nineteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 10 Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 01 2026 318 WTPZ24 KNHC 012046 TCMEP4 REMNANTS OF NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192026 2100 UTC THU OCT 01 2026 REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 123.0W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 123.0W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 123.3W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 123.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER ADAMS Remnants of Nineteen-E Forecast Discussion Number 10 Issued at 200 PM PDT Thu Oct 01 2026 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 012047 TCDEP4 Remnants Of Nineteen-E Discussion Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192026 200 PM PDT Thu Oct 01 2026 Easterly wind shear and dry mid-level air have taken their toll on Nineteen-E today. Earlier microwave imagery indicated a shallow system that may have been open on the southern and eastern side of the center. More recently, nearly all of the convection has been sheared off, leaving only a swirl of low-level clouds. Nineteen-E is therefore estimated to have opened into an trough and can no longer be classified as a tropical cyclone. The remnants are expected to continue moving eastward over the next day or so before dissipating. This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/2100Z 15.0N 123.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Adams Remnants of Nineteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 01 2026 000
FOPZ14 KNHC 012046
PWSEP4
REMNANTS OF NINETEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192026
2100 UTC THU OCT 01 2026
AT 2100Z THE REMNANTS OF NINETEEN-E WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25
KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
$$
FORECASTER ADAMS
Remnants of Nineteen-E Graphics Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 01 Oct 2026 21:32:10 GMT |
